the Minnesota Timber Wolves (20-20) travel to Big Easy Tuesday for a 8 p.m. ET tip with the New Orleans Pelicans (14-26) at the Smoothie King Center. Below we take a look at the Timberwolves vs Pelicans odds and lines, and make our choices, predictions and bets of NBA experts.
Minnesota won their fourth straight game on Sunday (3-1 ATS) when the T-Wolves beat the Houston Rockets 141-123 as the favorites by 6.5 points.
The T-Wolves are 4-3 in a row (SU), 4-2-1 ATS and 4-3 O / U over the past two weeks with the seventh best net waste-free time score at plus-7, 1 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
NOLA has lost four of its last six games (3-3 ATS), the last being a 105-101 loss to the Toronto Raptors, but covered as a 7.5-point underdog on the road.
The Pelicans are 23rd in the net waste-free time standings at minus -5.7 points per 100 possessions in the past 14 days, per CTG.
The T-Wolves have won two of their three meetings with the Pelicans this season, but New Orleans are 2-1 ATS in those games and the Under have conceded all three.
Also look: Bet Slippin ‘Podcast: NBA breakdown of January 11
Timberwolves at Pelicans odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; Go to the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.
Silver line: Timberwolves -165 (bet $ 165 to win $ 100) | Pelicans +133 (bet $ 100 to win $ 133)
Against the spread (ATS): Wolves in the woods -3.5 (-112) | Pelicans +3.5 (-108)
Over / Under (O / U): 227.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Injured Timberwolves at Pelicans
PG Patrick beverley (groin) questionable
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Timberwolves at Pelicans odds, lines, picks and predictions
Pelicans 116, Wood Wolves 113
PAST with a strong “lean” towards the Pelicans (+133) because I like NOLA more points and I usually sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when I bet them to cover the spread.
However, I’m waiting for a better payout for the Pelicans and we might get that if the money keeps pouring into the T-Wolves. New Orleans are 5-10 SU as a home underdog and Minnesota are 3-1 SU as a road favorite.
If the Pelicans’ silver line goes up to +150 or more, I would consider sprinkling them and betting more on their spread. But for now, PAST.
Against the spread
BET the PELICANS +3.5 (-108) because that number seems low considering the quality of T-Wolves play going into this game and this is the healthiest NOLA team Minnesota have faced this season.
The Pelicans have covered three of their last four meetings with the T-Wolves and are 8-4 ATS at home against winning teams.
On top of that, they have strength over weakness on Minnesota that they can exploit by drawing fouls and transition basketball.
Pelicans have the 10th highest offensive FT / FGA rate while T-Wolves have the worst defensive FT / FGA rate.
Both teams also come out in transition with a top 10 rate, but NOLA’s offensive efficiency in the quick break ranks fifth while Minnesota’s ranks 26th.
Finally, according to Pregame.com, over 90% of the money wagered is on Minnesota. Which has taken the T-Wolves from a favorite to 2.5 points at the current number. It looks like the market is falling into what I think is a trap line.
Both teams have an effective attacking field goal percentage in the last 10 and a large majority of the market is betting on Over, but the total has been reduced from the total of 228 points expected. The Under have also conceded in the last three Timberwolves-Pelicans meetings.
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