Raiders vs Bengals Odds, Picks and Predictions

Thirty one years. How long has it been since the Cincinnati Bengals won a game in the NFL Playoffs? But they are favorites to end that drought when they face the Las Vegas Raiders in the AFC Wild Card Round.

But the Bengals have something they haven’t had for the past 31 years this time around: quarterback Joe Burrow. The sophomore took a huge leap forward in his sophomore NFL season, but will he and Cincinnati’s dynamic offense be enough to cover against a feisty Las Vegas Raiders team led by Derek Carr?

Find out in our free NFL picks and predictions for Raiders vs Bengals on Saturday, January 15.

Raiders vs. Bengals Odds

Odds via the hedges line, an average made up of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The Bengals opened this game as healthy 6.5-point favorites, but early bettors were happy to pounce on the Raiders at that number and bring the line down to 5.5. The total for that AFC Wild Card game hasn’t budged much on Wednesday afternoon, still hovering around the opening number of 49.

Use the live odds widget above to track all future line moves up to kickoff and be sure to check out all NFL odds before placing your bets.

Raiders vs. Bengals Predictions

Predictions made on 01/12/2022 at 4:00 PM ET.
Click on each prediction to go to the full analysis.

Best Raiders vs. Bengals Bonuses

If you’re signing up to a new NFL Wild Card sportsbook, here are two of the best welcome bonuses available:

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Raiders vs Bengals Match Info

Site: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Dated: Saturday, January 15, 2022
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
TV:NBC

Raiders at Bengals Betting Overview

Weather

Monitor game conditions with our live NFL weather information and find out how the weather affects NFL betting.

Key injuries

Raiders: Johnathan Hankins DT (Doubtful).
Bengals: Jalen Davis CB (Questionable), Stanley Morgan WR (Questionable), Josh Tupou DT (Questionable).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend you need to know

The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six games with a winning streak. Find more NFL betting trends for the Raiders vs. Bengals.

Raiders vs Bengals Picks and Predictions

Our predictions are compiled from spread and total analysis and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the game we like the most for this game, which we will actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Not only have the Bengals not won a playoff game in 31 years, they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven playoff games. So, should we be afraid to face the Bengals against the Raiders on Saturday? Let’s dive in there.

Well, for starters, while some may say the Bengals benefited from a loose schedule down the home stretch in order to secure their first AFC North crown since 2015, there’s no denying that they took advantage of what was ahead of them and played well in the process, with none playing better than Joe Burrow.

The Bengals’ sophomore flagger threw for 1,476 yards while completing 75.9 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and no picks in his last four games. With a QB rating of 134.9 over that span, Burrow enters this hot game.

Burrow also has the advantage of one of the best groups of skill position players around him to get the ball with potential offensive rookie of the year Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins catching passes and Joe Mixon in the back field.

That offense ended the regular season ranked seventh in yards and assists per game. And even though the Raiders aren’t giving up a ton of big plays, they still rank 21st in DVOA against the pass.

Speaking of the Raiders, they qualified for the playoffs in one of the craziest ways all weekend. Las Vegas threw a late field goal in overtime to beat the Los Angeles Chargers to win 35-32 in a game they were leading by 15 with about five minutes left.

It was the Raiders’ fourth straight win, and they needed everyone to qualify for the playoffs. So despite the 19th ranked offense and 17th ranked defense by DVOA, the Raiders are here thanks to Derek Carr’s scrappy play and a defense that keeps everything in front of them.

So, the keys to the game are as follows. Can Cincinnati’s offensive line withstand a strong pass rush from the Raiders who will try to use the front four to build pressure? Will Burrow and his wides have enough advantage over the Las Vegas secondary to nullify this passing rush? How effective is Darren Waller?

Cincinnati won the Nov. 21 encounter 32-13 in Las Vegas, but the game was 13-6 heading into fourth and Carr had two bad turnovers late to make the score wobbly. And in that game, they limited Joe Burrow to just 148 yards and sacked him three times.

But, he didn’t turn the ball around and took what the defense gave him and that set the stage for a big day for Mixon, who rushed 30 times for 123 yards and two scores.

While the Raiders have some of the tools to slow Burrow down, the Bengals’ offensive balance will ultimately be Vegas’ loss. And ultimately, one of those exceptional receivers will make a big play against a shaky Raiders secondary.

On top of that, Waller played last week but he didn’t look 100% and it will be interesting to see if the Raiders can move the ball as effectively with this current version of him.

That goes to Joe Burrow. He just has a different feel to him. The guy is just a winner and his teammates feed off his confidence. I’m not saying the Bengals are Super Bowl bound or anything, but they have the talent to take out the Raiders here, end this 31-year drought and cover the spread in the process.

Prediction: Bengals -5.5 (-110)

Covers NFL betting analysis

As for the total, there’s been little movement so far, but jumping on the Over now might be the prudent thing to do before he starts moving.

We have already covered in detail how the Bengals offense can be successful. As noted, the Bengals have the No. 7 offense in the NFL with 27.1 points per game and will now face a defense that has given up seventh most points this season with 25.8 points allowed per game.

And frankly, that number could be more, as the Raiders have really struggled against competent offenses like the Chargers, Chiefs, and Cowboys while shutting down teams like the Broncos, Browns, and Washington Football Team.

The Raiders are also the owners of the worst red zone defense in the NFL when it comes to touchdown percentage.

Meanwhile, theoretically, Waller should be healthier this week and will face a Bengals defense that has struggled with tight ends and still ranked 19th in DVOA despite a schedule that certainly wasn’t the toughest in the NFL this season. .

Carr should be able to do enough in this game against a defense that has given up 25.8 points per game in its last five significant games. This one should sneak over the total.

Prediction: More than 49 (-110)

Burrow has one of the most talented groups of wide receivers to work with in the NFL.

With Chase and Higgins dominating the headlines these days (and rightly so), Tyler Boyd tends to get overlooked now, but that doesn’t make him any less important to the Bengals.

Boyd finished the regular season with an impressive 67 receptions and 828 yards with five scores, despite Chase and Higgins having big seasons. And more importantly for this game, Boyd has the right skills to take advantage of the Raiders’ secondary.

Las Vegas is good at limiting explosive games, which of course is Burrow and Chase’s specialty. But it’s still not a great — or even a good — secondary Raiders, not to mention they’re a bit bumpy and vulnerable down below and down the middle…that’s where Boyd does his best work.

And in the Nov. 21 meeting, Burrow targeted Boyd eight times, with him carrying six of those passes for 49 yards. It started a streak of Boyd rushing for 49 yards or more five times in his last seven games.

So it’s a bit surprising to see his yardage total as low as it is for this game. Look for Boyd to become Burrow’s safety cover in this game and bet him to exceed his total receiving yards.

Take: Tyler Boyd Over 40.5 receiving yards (-120)

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